MPC Member Publications

This database contains a listing of population studies publications written by MPC Members. Anyone can add a publication by an MPC student, faculty, or staff member to this database; new citations will be reviewed and approved by MPC administrators.

Full Citation

Title: Threshold Evaluation of Emergency Risk Communication for Health Risks Related to Hazardous Ambient Temperature

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2018

ISSN: 15396924

DOI: 10.1111/risa.12998

PMID: 29637591

Abstract: Emergency risk communication (ERC) programs that activate when the ambient temperature is expected to cross certain extreme thresholds are widely used to manage relevant public health risks. In practice, however, the effectiveness of these thresholds has rarely been examined. The goal of this study is to test if the activation criteria based on extreme temperature thresholds, both cold and heat, capture elevated health risks for all-cause and cause-specific mortality and morbidity in the Minneapolis-St. Paul Metropolitan Area. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson generalized linear model is used to derive the exposure–response functions between daily maximum heat index and mortality (1998–2014) and morbidity (emergency department visits; 2007–2014). Specific causes considered include cardiovascular, respiratory, renal diseases, and diabetes. Six extreme temperature thresholds, corresponding to 1st–3rd and 97th–99th percentiles of local exposure history, are examined. All six extreme temperature thresholds capture significantly increased relative risks for all-cause mortality and morbidity. However, the cause-specific analyses reveal heterogeneity. Extreme cold thresholds capture increased mortality and morbidity risks for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases and extreme heat thresholds for renal disease. Percentile-based extreme temperature thresholds are appropriate for initiating ERC targeting the general population. Tailoring ERC by specific causes may protect some but not all individuals with health conditions exacerbated by hazardous ambient temperature exposure.

Url: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/risa.12998

Url: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/risa.12998

Url: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/risa.12998

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Liu, Yang; Hoppe, Brenda O.; Convertino, Matteo

Periodical (Full): Risk Analysis

Issue: 10

Volume: 38

Pages: 2208-2221

Countries:

IPUMS NHGIS NAPP IHIS ATUS Terrapop