MPC Member Publications

This database contains a listing of population studies publications written by MPC Members. Anyone can add a publication by an MPC student, faculty, or staff member to this database; new citations will be reviewed and approved by MPC administrators.

Full Citation

Title: Revealing the spatial shifting pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in the United States

Citation Type: Journal Article

Publication Year: 2021

ISSN: 2045-2322

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-87902-8

Abstract: We describe the use of network modeling to capture the shifting spatiotemporal nature of the COVID-19 pandemic. The most common approach to tracking COVID-19 cases over time and space is to examine a series of maps that provide snapshots of the pandemic. A series of snapshots can convey the spatial nature of cases but often rely on subjective interpretation to assess how the pandemic is shifting in severity through time and space. We present a novel application of network optimization to a standard series of snapshots to better reveal how the spatial centres of the pandemic shifted spatially over time in the mainland United States under a mix of interventions. We find a global spatial shifting pattern with stable pandemic centres and both local and long-range interactions. Metrics derived from the daily nature of spatial shifts are introduced to help evaluate the pandemic situation at regional scales. We also highlight the value of reviewing pandemics through local spatial shifts to uncover dynamic relationships among and within regions, such as spillover and concentration among states. This new way of examining the COVID-19 pandemic in terms of network-based spatial shifts offers new story lines in understanding how the pandemic spread in geography.

Url: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-87902-8

User Submitted?: No

Authors: Zhu, Di; Ye, Xinyue; Manson, Steven M

Periodical (Full): Scientific Reports 2021 11:1

Issue: 1

Volume: 11

Pages: 1-9

Countries:

IPUMS NHGIS NAPP IHIS ATUS Terrapop