Full Citation
Title: Climate shocks and the timing of migration from Mexico
Citation Type: Journal Article
Publication Year: 2016
ISBN:
ISSN: 0199-0039
DOI: 10.1007/s11111-016-0255-x
NSFID:
PMCID:
PMID: 27795604
Abstract: Although evidence is increasing that climate shocks influence human migration, it is unclear exactly when people migrate after a climate shock. A climate shock might be followed by an immediate migration response. Alternatively, migration, as an adaptive strategy of last resort, might be delayed and employed only after available in-situ (in-place) adaptive strategies are exhausted. In this paper, we explore the temporally lagged association between a climate shock and future migration. Using multilevel event-history models, we analyze the risk of Mexico-U.S. migration over a seven-year period after a climate shock. Consistent with a delayed response pattern, we find that the risk of migration is low immediately after a climate shock and increases as households pursue and cycle through in-situ adaptive strategies available to them. However, about three years after the climate shock, the risk of migration decreases, suggesting that households are eventually successful in adapting in-situ.
Url: http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27795604
Url: http://www.pubmedcentral.nih.gov/articlerender.fcgi?artid=PMC5079540
Url: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11111-016-0255-x
User Submitted?: No
Authors: Nawrotzki, Raphael J.; DeWaard, Jack
Periodical (Full): Population and Environment
Issue: 1
Volume: 38
Pages: 72-100
Countries: